In the previous federal election, the focus in Quebec shifted from defending the province’s interests to protecting Canada against the tariff threats and rhetoric from Donald Trump, resulting in the Liberals achieving their best result in decades and pushing the Bloc Québécois aside.
As the provincial election commences, attention is drawn to whether the U.S. president will once again play a significant role, with the recently imposed tariffs dominating pre-campaign discussions. Parties are challenged to showcase their ability to shield the province from economic repercussions.
The election landscape has quickly transformed, with economic stability emerging as a crucial factor for voters, overshadowing previous concerns about health care, housing, and the cost of living. Quebec faces substantial impact from the tariffs due to its heavy reliance on automotive, metals, and manufacturing exports.
The Parti Québécois, led by Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, has pledged not to hold a referendum until the end of Trump’s second term, emphasizing the election’s focus on Quebec’s future. However, recent polls indicate a tightening race, with the ruling Coalition Avenir Québec gaining ground.
The CAQ Leader, Christine Fréchette, benefits from being in power during this tumultuous period, unveiling financial aid programs for businesses affected by the tariffs. The party aims to replicate the rise of Prime Minister Mark Carney, who saw immediate popularity gains upon taking office.
Opponents are challenging the notion that Fréchette is best suited to navigate the current situation, with different parties proposing various strategies to address the challenges posed by the trade war. The one who can reassure the electorate amidst the uncertainty created by Trump’s policies is likely to gain an advantage in the election.