A recent survey indicates that Brad Bradford and Mayor Olivia Chow are in a close race for Toronto’s mayoral position as the election approaches. According to the Liaison Strategies poll, Bradford currently leads with 49% support, while Chow follows closely with 47% among decided and leaning voters. The remaining 3% of respondents chose other candidates.
This survey marks the first time the firm shows the two-term city councillor leading Toronto’s incumbent mayor in the race. However, Liaison Strategies principal David Valentin mentioned that Bradford’s lead falls within the poll’s margin of error, indicating a statistical tie.
The previous week’s polling had shown Chow ahead of Bradford with 51% support to 46%, with a 3% preference for another candidate. Valentin noted a shift in numbers with Bradford gaining three points and Chow losing four since the prior release. The current standings have transformed a five-point lead for Chow into a two-point edge for Bradford, creating a more competitive race than the previous week.
Nanos Research also conducted a poll, indicating Chow at 50% support and Bradford at 47%. Chief data scientist Nik Nanos highlighted that these results are subject to the survey’s margin of error. Nanos emphasized that the race may still undergo changes leading up to the voting day on Oct. 26.
Both candidates, Chow and Bradford, downplayed the significance of polls during a Tuesday morning discussion. Chow emphasized that the only poll of consequence is on election day, as the actual voters’ opinions matter most. Bradford echoed similar sentiments, acknowledging a desire for change among residents while recognizing the tight competition. He emphasized that the ultimate poll that counts is on the day of the election, noting the importance of changing the mayor to effect city-wide transformations.
For a comprehensive list of Toronto’s 53 mayoral candidates, visit the city’s website.