A recent survey conducted by Abacus Data indicates that the majority of Albertans are eager to move past discussions on separating from Canada, but believe the issue will persist for at least a generation following the upcoming referendum. According to the survey, 61% of respondents anticipate future votes on Alberta’s separation post the October 19 referendum. Despite this, only 14% believe that the debate on Alberta separatism will be resolved for an extended period if most Albertans choose to remain part of Canada.
The survey also reveals that 67% of participants wish for the provincial government to prioritize everyday concerns such as healthcare, affordability, and employment, while 22% prefer the province to pursue greater provincial autonomy. Abacus Data’s strategist, Robson Fletcher, highlighted the survey’s findings, emphasizing the widespread belief among Albertans that the issue of separation will persist regardless of the referendum’s outcome.
Fletcher noted the significant divide between those in favor and against separation, making it challenging to reconcile the opposing viewpoints. He stressed that entrenched positions and the lack of compromise contribute to the prevailing sentiment that the separatism debate will endure. The survey, which polled 1,021 Alberta voters between October 7 and 13, was weighted to ensure a representative sample of the province’s population.
Regarding trust in the referendum process, the survey showed that 68% of respondents have faith in Elections Alberta’s ability to fairly count the ballots. However, only 40% believe that the referendum’s final outcome will be respected by both sides of the debate. The survey also highlighted concerns among voters about the time and money spent on the referendum, with many expressing a desire for the province to address pressing issues rather than focus on separation discussions.
Looking ahead, some Albertans anticipate ongoing referendum questions on separation, with the province’s Citizen Initiative Act allowing for potential future votes on the matter. While Premier Danielle Smith has indicated that another question on separatism will not arise during her tenure, leaders of the independence movement foresee growing support for an independent Alberta irrespective of the referendum’s result. Policy analyst Lori Williams emphasized the need for Albertans to navigate the divisions that have emerged and address the challenges associated with the ongoing separatism debate.